Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.431433 0.474108 0.520394 0.574534 0.636387 0.705160 0.787842
2025-05-11 0.346446 0.402569 0.468197 0.551457 0.655499 0.782885 0.953296
2025-05-18 0.296491 0.357413 0.432334 0.532876 0.666848 0.843096 1.099349
2025-05-25 0.265345 0.329071 0.410582 0.525002 0.685732 0.910456 1.262021
2025-06-01 0.242238 0.307471 0.393668 0.519339 0.704096 0.976710 1.432738
2025-06-08 0.223403 0.289168 0.378504 0.513091 0.719055 1.038091 1.606049
2025-06-15 0.214056 0.282614 0.378407 0.527706 0.766067 1.155175 1.897579
2025-06-22 0.198377 0.265673 0.361643 0.514996 0.767691 1.197031 2.061950
2025-06-29 0.187464 0.254624 0.352364 0.512516 0.785075 1.267831 2.298420
2025-07-06 0.173653 0.238296 0.333782 0.493168 0.771054 1.279056 2.413610
2025-07-13 0.169229 0.235569 0.335622 0.507072 0.816523 1.408939 2.824496
2025-07-20 0.164927 0.232656 0.336813 0.519791 0.861234 1.545179 3.295130
2025-07-27 0.158300 0.225988 0.331926 0.522300 0.888652 1.654497 3.748672
2025-08-03 0.147886 0.212812 0.315634 0.503269 0.872054 1.666255 3.943645
2025-08-10 0.138914 0.201423 0.301538 0.486946 0.858885 1.683604 4.163921
2025-08-17 0.132421 0.193647 0.292956 0.479973 0.864024 1.744935 4.548528
2025-08-24 0.126804 0.186973 0.285783 0.474944 0.872549 1.816264 5.001108
2025-08-31 0.121540 0.180591 0.278685 0.469393 0.879173 1.884247 5.477946
2025-09-07 0.119624 0.179658 0.281004 0.482377 0.928927 2.077834 6.559000
2025-09-14 0.114118 0.172380 0.271595 0.471086 0.921206 2.110706 6.988925
2025-09-21 0.110331 0.167846 0.266852 0.468882 0.934761 2.208505 7.785547
2025-09-28 0.104648 0.159801 0.255285 0.451671 0.909868 2.186016 7.980926
2025-10-05 0.103446 0.159444 0.257776 0.464042 0.959700 2.407086 9.641395